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Red26
42409.9
529317.5
51097.1
Blue10
17468.9
38153.7
886512.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3237010205060702610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +15
3Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
15Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
26Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.4
12.211.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End-0.1
red by 5.0
8865
#11
12.52.4
13.511.2
Auto2.2
Teleop9.9
End0.4
Second
4240
#28
9.90.4
12.412.0
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.8
red by 1.0
1746
#19
8.92.4
11.79.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.2
Third
5109
#20
7.10.4
5.14.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.2
red by 3.4
3815
#27
3.72.4
6.33.9
Auto1.0
Teleop0.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed