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Red57
473015.3
331826.7
529317.5
Blue51
418811.1
948013.0
75388.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53350204060801005751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
8Coral scored#4
27Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
41Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points18
57Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.4
21.422.8
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End3.2
red by 13.7
9480
#21
13.00.1
10.510.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Second
17.51.4
11.813.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End-0.1
red by 6.4
4188
#18
11.10.1
14.114.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Third
4730
#15
15.31.4
10.011.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End1.2
red by 6.5
7538
#30
8.80.1
7.87.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed