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Red27
948013.0
671211.6
Blue59
38153.7
560823.0
418924.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27490204060801002759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
0Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
5Coral scored#8
17Coral points28
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
17Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
6Foul points6
27Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9480
#21
13.00.5
10.510.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.4
End2.3
blue by 11.4
4189
#12
24.51.2
21.522.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Second
6712
#17
11.60.6
12.812.2
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 11.4
23.01.2
18.019.2
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End0.7
Third
2.70.6
3.32.8
Auto0.2
Teleop2.1
End0.5
blue by 1.0
3815
#27
3.71.1
2.13.2
Auto1.0
Teleop0.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned