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Red87
529317.5
949655.5
17468.9
Blue26
873616.2
75388.8
58281.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7416040601001201408726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+61Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +44
12Coral scored#3
42Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
60Total teleop16
Reef
5L4#1
6L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
87Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.52.3
43.045.4
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
red by 39.3
8736
#16
16.20.5
15.115.6
Auto3.4
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Second
17.52.3
13.215.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End-0.1
red by 8.7
7538
#30
8.80.5
7.98.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Third
1746
#19
8.92.3
6.68.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.2
red by 7.2
5828
#29
1.80.5
-1.7-1.2
Auto0.9
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed