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Red59
473015.3
745121.8
947712.4
Blue28
710411.4
95613.9
141420.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424302060801005928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
46Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
59Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7451
#14
21.81.6
16.317.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.7
End4.1
red by 1.5
20.31.5
21.920.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End2.2
Second
4730
#15
15.31.6
11.513.0
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End1.2
red by 3.9
7104
#24
11.41.3
11.310.0
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Third
9477
#23
12.41.7
9.110.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End1.4
red by 8.6
9561
#31
3.91.4
2.91.5
Auto0.4
Teleop1.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed