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Red90
183335.0
886632.9
88729.9
Blue48
30914.6
168333.2
926024.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67602040801001209048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +37
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points14
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
61Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
14Foul points2
90Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.7
28.830.5
Auto6.4
Teleop24.5
End4.1
red by 1.9
33.20.9
31.931.0
Auto6.7
Teleop20.6
End5.8
Second
32.91.6
24.926.5
Auto2.9
Teleop29.7
End0.3
red by 8.7
9260
#10
24.20.9
21.120.2
Auto3.4
Teleop18.2
End2.6
Third
8872
#22
9.91.7
5.97.6
Auto1.5
Teleop7.4
End1.0
red by 5.4
3091
#25
4.60.9
2.41.5
Auto3.5
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed