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Red60
710411.4
745121.8
17468.9
Blue91
30914.6
949655.5
58281.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395202060801006091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+37
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +5
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
12Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +32
8Coral scored#17
30Coral points60
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
42Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#22
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
60Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7451
#14
21.81.0
17.818.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.7
End4.1
blue by 33.7
55.53.1
45.448.5
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
Second
7104
#24
11.41.0
10.011.0
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End1.3
red by 6.9
3091
#25
4.63.1
1.54.6
Auto3.5
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Third
1746
#19
8.91.0
8.99.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.2
red by 7.2
5828
#29
1.83.1
-1.21.9
Auto0.9
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed