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Red51
95613.9
331826.7
560823.0
Blue9
710411.4
51097.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5169020406080100120519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +33
8Coral scored#1
28Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
38Total teleop5
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
51Total score9

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.5
17.818.3
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End3.2
red by 15.3
7104
#24
11.45.6
17.512.0
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Second
23.00.5
15.816.4
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End0.7
red by 15.9
5109
#20
7.15.6
23.718.1
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.2
Third
9561
#31DQ
3.90.5
12.513.0
Auto0.4
Teleop1.5
End1.9
red by 1.1
10006
#32DQ
2.70.8
11.512.3
Auto0.2
Teleop2.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed