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Red46
952214.6
634030.8
38153.7
Blue23
745121.8
671211.6
30914.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666002040801001204623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+15Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#0
1Coral points0
10Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +18
4Coral scored#2
16Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
24Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
8Foul points0
46Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.82.1
24.522.4
Auto5.0
Teleop20.6
End5.3
red by 9.1
7451
#14
21.83.4
22.018.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.7
End4.1
Second
9522
#13
14.62.1
18.216.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.8
red by 3.0
6712
#17
11.63.4
20.617.2
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Third
3815
#27
3.72.1
14.612.5
Auto1.0
Teleop0.9
End1.8
blue by 0.9
3091
#25
4.63.4
10.97.5
Auto3.5
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned