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Red47
886512.5
947712.4
886632.9
Blue39
17468.9
418811.1
473015.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486402040801001201404739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+12Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
39Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
47Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.6
19.819.2
Auto2.9
Teleop29.7
End0.3
red by 17.6
4730
#15
15.32.8
10.77.9
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End1.2
Second
8865
#11
12.50.6
12.812.1
Auto2.2
Teleop9.9
End0.4
red by 1.4
4188
#18
11.12.8
23.020.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Third
9477
#23
12.40.6
11.911.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End1.4
red by 3.5
1746
#19
8.92.8
21.919.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed