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Red48
51097.1
745121.8
886512.5
Blue85
634030.8
418924.5
42409.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417102060801001201404885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
30Total teleop53
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points12
48Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7451
#14
21.80.9
18.819.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.7
End4.1
blue by 9.1
30.81.1
29.630.8
Auto5.0
Teleop20.6
End5.3
Second
8865
#11
12.50.8
12.012.8
Auto2.2
Teleop9.9
End0.4
blue by 12.0
4189
#12
24.51.3
22.523.8
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Third
5109
#20
7.10.9
5.86.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.2
blue by 2.9
4240
#28
9.91.1
6.87.9
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed