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Red114
949655.5
183335.0
948013.0
Blue28
95613.9
83212.3
947712.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111005010015020011428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+88Teleop
+84Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +71
19Coral scored#3
67Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
87Total teleop16
Reef
9L4#2
7L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
26Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
2Foul points0
114Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.51.7
48.550.1
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
red by 43.1
9477
#23
12.40.6
10.411.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Second
35.01.8
31.633.4
Auto6.4
Teleop24.5
End4.1
red by 22.7
832
#26
12.30.6
9.29.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End2.9
Third
9480
#21
13.01.7
11.713.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.4
End2.3
red by 9.2
9561
#31
3.90.6
1.11.8
Auto0.4
Teleop1.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed