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Red35
529317.5
88729.9
Blue82
886632.9
710411.4
560823.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257304060801001201403582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+49
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +46
5Coral scored#11
18Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
22Total teleop68
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
35Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.2
16.917.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End-0.1
blue by 15.4
32.91.5
27.829.3
Auto2.9
Teleop29.7
End0.3
Second
8872
#22
9.90.3
7.27.4
Auto1.5
Teleop7.4
End1.0
blue by 13.1
23.01.6
19.220.8
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End0.7
Third
2.70.3
2.83.1
Auto0.2
Teleop2.1
End0.5
blue by 8.7
7104
#24
11.41.5
11.012.5
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed