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Red29
75388.8
42409.9
671211.6
Blue31
418811.1
17468.9
141420.3
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335502040801001202931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+14
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +13
1Coral scored#3
2Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
2Total teleop15
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
18Foul points6
29Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6712
#17
11.61.7
12.010.3
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 8.6
20.31.9
21.619.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End2.2
Second
4240
#28
9.91.7
8.56.8
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 1.2
4188
#18
11.11.6
13.311.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Third
7538
#30
8.81.7
9.37.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 0.1
1746
#19
8.91.6
9.98.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned