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Red65
331826.7
30914.6
168333.2
Blue60
38153.7
873616.2
473015.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70270204060801001201401606560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#8
29Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
43Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points8
65Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.6
30.730.0
Auto6.7
Teleop20.6
End5.8
red by 17.0
8736
#16
16.21.2
15.616.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Second
26.70.6
25.625.0
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End3.2
red by 11.4
4730
#15
15.31.2
14.015.2
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End1.2
Third
3091
#25
4.60.6
4.64.0
Auto3.5
Teleop0.3
End0.9
red by 0.9
3815
#27
3.71.2
2.84.0
Auto1.0
Teleop0.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed