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Red29
75388.8
473015.3
83212.3
Blue82
141420.3
168333.2
331826.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28900204060801001201401602982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +35
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
14Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points2
29Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4730
#15
15.30.3
15.214.9
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End1.2
blue by 17.8
33.20.4
30.030.4
Auto6.7
Teleop20.6
End5.8
Second
832
#26
12.30.3
9.89.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End2.9
blue by 14.4
26.70.4
25.025.4
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End3.2
Third
7538
#30
8.80.3
7.67.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 11.5
20.30.5
19.720.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned