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Red135
560823.0
88729.9
949655.5
Blue30
51097.1
30914.6
947712.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971405015013530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+85Teleop
+79Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +67
18Coral scored#3
64Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
82Total teleop15
Reef
8L4#1
5L3#1
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
26Foul points0
135Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.52.3
50.152.4
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
red by 43.1
9477
#23
12.40.7
11.011.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Second
23.02.5
20.823.3
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End0.7
red by 15.9
5109
#20
7.10.6
6.87.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.2
Third
8872
#22
9.92.5
7.49.9
Auto1.5
Teleop7.4
End1.0
red by 5.4
3091
#25
4.60.6
4.04.6
Auto3.5
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed