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Red84
745121.8
926024.2
95613.9
Blue66
948013.0
418924.5
529317.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506502040801001201408466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+2Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +8
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
56Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#14
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
84Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9260
#10
24.21.9
22.624.5
Auto3.4
Teleop18.2
End2.6
blue by 0.3
4189
#12
24.50.0
23.823.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Second
7451
#14
21.81.9
19.821.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.7
End4.1
red by 4.3
17.50.0
17.117.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End-0.1
Third
9561
#31
3.92.1
1.83.9
Auto0.4
Teleop1.5
End1.9
blue by 9.2
9480
#21
13.00.0
13.313.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed