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Red125
886632.9
952214.6
949655.5
Blue95
634030.8
75388.8
331826.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116405010015020012595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+44Teleop
+32Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +40
19Coral scored#12
69Coral points43
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
107Total teleop67
Reef
11L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points2
125Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.6
53.654.2
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
red by 24.6
30.80.6
30.130.8
Auto5.0
Teleop20.6
End5.3
Second
32.90.6
31.031.6
Auto2.9
Teleop29.7
End0.3
red by 6.2
26.70.6
26.026.6
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End3.2
Third
9522
#13
14.60.6
14.014.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.8
red by 5.8
7538
#30
8.80.7
8.08.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1