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Red104
168333.2
83212.3
183335.0
Blue64
141420.3
745121.8
17468.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8050020406010012014016010464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#9
45Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
59Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
104Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.7
32.032.7
Auto6.4
Teleop24.5
End4.1
red by 13.3
7451
#14
21.80.2
21.521.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.7
End4.1
Second
33.20.7
30.531.1
Auto6.7
Teleop20.6
End5.8
red by 12.9
20.30.3
20.020.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End2.2
Third
832
#26
12.30.7
9.610.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End2.9
red by 3.4
1746
#19
8.90.2
8.78.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.2