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Red95
634030.8
75388.8
331826.7
Blue48
560823.0
948013.0
926024.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74704060801001201409548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+35Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
15Coral scored#8
55Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
69Total teleop37
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
95Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.7
29.530.2
Auto5.0
Teleop20.6
End5.3
red by 6.6
9260
#10
24.20.4
24.524.1
Auto3.4
Teleop18.2
End2.6
Second
26.70.7
25.426.0
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End3.2
red by 3.7
23.00.4
23.322.9
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End0.7
Third
7538
#30
8.80.7
7.38.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 4.2
9480
#21
13.00.4
13.313.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.4
End2.3