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Red110
947712.4
671211.6
418924.5
Blue90
873616.2
473015.3
529317.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53532040608010011090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+2
+2Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points18
16Total auto18
Teleoperatedlevel
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
70Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +20
18Foul points0
110Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4189
#12
24.50.7
24.124.9
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
red by 7.0
17.50.7
16.817.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End-0.1
Second
9477
#23
12.40.7
12.112.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End1.4
blue by 3.8
8736
#16
16.20.7
15.516.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Third
6712
#17
11.60.7
11.312.0
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 3.7
4730
#15
15.30.7
14.615.3
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End1.2