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Red128
886632.9
952214.6
949655.5
Blue49
141420.3
745121.8
17468.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11445010015020012849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+81Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +67
23Coral scored#7
83Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
101Total teleop34
Reef
12L4#4
7L3#2
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
128Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.7
52.953.6
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
red by 33.7
7451
#14
21.80.0
21.221.2
Auto4.9
Teleop12.7
End4.1
Second
32.90.7
30.331.0
Auto2.9
Teleop29.7
End0.3
red by 12.6
20.30.0
19.619.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End2.2
Third
9522
#13
14.60.7
13.314.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.8
red by 5.7
1746
#19
8.90.0
8.48.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.2