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Red64
168333.2
83212.3
183335.0
Blue74
634030.8
75388.8
331826.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786802040601001201401606474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
5Coral scored#8
18Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
26Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points12
64Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.4
32.832.4
Auto6.4
Teleop24.5
End4.1
red by 4.2
30.80.1
30.230.1
Auto5.0
Teleop20.6
End5.3
Second
33.20.4
31.130.8
Auto6.7
Teleop20.6
End5.8
red by 6.4
26.70.1
26.026.0
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End3.2
Third
832
#26
12.30.4
10.29.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End2.9
red by 3.5
7538
#30
8.80.1
8.18.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1