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Red122
634047.0
297466.1
670521.9
Blue105
873625.3
808038.1
602335.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19912050100150250300122105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
16Coral scored#13
58Coral points47
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
18Processor points12
12Net points24
30Algae points36
88Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#5
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points2
122Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.13.2
75.071.9
Auto16.7
Teleop46.4
End3.1
red by 28.1
8080
#33
38.11.0
39.438.4
Auto7.8
Teleop27.8
End2.5
Second
6340
#12
47.03.2
59.756.5
Auto8.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
red by 11.2
35.81.0
35.334.3
Auto3.0
Teleop31.7
End1.1
Third
6705
#31
21.93.2
28.825.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.7
End2.1
blue by 3.4
8736
#15
25.31.0
35.033.9
Auto5.8
Teleop17.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed