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Red74
363534.1
418932.8
507419.2
Blue149
682929.9
886518.8
177187.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971755015020025074149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+71
Endgame+81
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave6
3Coral scored#8
16Coral points38
19Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +46
9Coral scored#18
31Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
45Total teleop91
Reef
3L4#10
4L3#6
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
6Foul points0
74Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#23
34.11.6
37.836.1
Auto6.1
Teleop27.3
End0.7
blue by 53.6
87.70.4
89.489.8
Auto26.2
Teleop51.0
End10.5
Second
4189
#22
32.81.6
28.627.0
Auto7.0
Teleop25.8
End0.1
red by 2.9
6829
#24
29.90.4
28.929.3
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End1.8
Third
5074
#13
19.21.6
26.124.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.5
End2.6
red by 0.4
8865
#34
18.80.4
24.124.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned