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Red91
183366.3
810019.5
164841.8
Blue45
402636.3
745136.8
590012.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191121501001502509145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+32Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +15
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
45Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#10
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
91Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.34.9
76.171.2
Auto17.8
Teleop41.0
End7.5
red by 29.6
7451
#19
36.84.7
49.144.3
Auto7.5
Teleop25.6
End3.6
Second
1648
#10
41.84.9
61.056.1
Auto8.7
Teleop25.5
End7.6
red by 5.5
4026
#16
36.34.7
49.344.6
Auto9.1
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Third
8100
#17
19.54.9
27.122.2
Auto3.3
Teleop15.5
End0.7
red by 6.7
12.84.7
17.712.9
Auto0.5
Teleop11.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed