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Red53
69057.2
168368.5
753811.8
Blue45
45098.8
952212.5
100233.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127790501001502005345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+12Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
45Total teleop23
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
53Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.54.2
74.270.0
Auto11.1
Teleop49.2
End8.2
red by 34.7
1002
#32
33.82.6
39.036.4
Auto7.5
Teleop25.2
End1.0
Second
7538
#20
11.84.2
25.020.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
blue by 0.7
9522
#39
12.52.6
19.917.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Third
6905
#35
7.24.2
11.97.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End1.2
blue by 1.7
4509
#37
8.82.6
19.516.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed