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Red67
241512.0
83219.4
126160.4
Blue59
886628.9
85779.4
331825.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610560801401601806759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
57Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points6
67Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.42.9
63.860.9
Auto13.4
Teleop45.2
End1.8
red by 31.5
8866
#38
28.92.9
47.544.6
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End3.6
Second
832
#30
19.42.9
22.619.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.6
End4.4
blue by 5.9
3318
#25
25.32.9
31.428.5
Auto4.0
Teleop18.6
End2.7
Third
2415
#29
12.02.9
24.221.3
Auto1.3
Teleop10.6
End0.2
red by 2.6
8577
#36
9.42.9
17.514.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned