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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1568950100200182137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+37Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
6Leave3
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points6
47Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
18Coral scored#19
65Coral points70
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
18Processor points18
28Net points24
46Algae points42
111Total teleop112
Reef
8L4#6
11L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
182Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.9
71.172.0
Auto22.1
Teleop42.6
End7.3
red by 21.0
51.00.9
50.151.0
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
Second
50.80.9
49.950.8
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
red by 25.3
25.50.9
24.525.5
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
Third
4468
#21
15.10.9
14.215.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
red by 0.2
8865
#27
14.90.9
13.914.9
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6