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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1548650100200158135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
20Coral scored#22
73Coral points80
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
111Total teleop100
Reef
11L4#10
7L3#6
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
158Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.3
70.871.1
Auto22.1
Teleop42.6
End7.3
red by 21.0
51.00.8
49.350.1
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
Second
50.80.3
49.649.9
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
red by 25.3
25.50.8
23.724.5
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
Third
4468
#21
15.10.3
13.914.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
red by 0.2
8865
#27
14.90.8
13.113.9
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6