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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95722040608012014016013237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+85Teleop
+95Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +71
19Coral scored#6
67Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
95Total teleop24
Reef
11L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#0
28Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +95
0Foul points0
132Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.01.0
48.349.3
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
red by 18.5
1261
#13
32.50.8
33.332.5
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Second
25.51.0
22.823.7
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
red by 7.1
5074
#11
18.40.8
19.218.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Third
8865
#27
14.91.0
12.213.1
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
red by 0.7
14.20.8
15.014.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End4.5