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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766320401005631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
4Coral scored#2
16Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
24Total teleop16
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
56Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.8
33.232.3
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
red by 19.6
31.41.8
26.724.9
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
Second
20.80.8
17.616.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
red by 15.8
8815
#31
5.03.0
15.712.8
Auto3.1
Teleop0.1
End1.8
Third
19.720.3
36.716.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End4.7
red by 16.1
6910
#34
3.53.0
15.212.2
Auto1.2
Teleop0.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed