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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565302040801002429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +6
3Coral scored#2
12Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
18Total teleop12
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#0
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points12
24Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8080
#28
15.42.8
22.219.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 4.1
8100
#22
19.43.8
17.413.6
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
Second
8865
#27
14.91.7
12.510.8
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
red by 7.7
9057
#26
7.23.8
14.811.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.1
Third
832
#30
9.21.7
12.310.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End1.5
red by 5.9
8577
#32
3.23.8
16.012.2
Auto0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed