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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5916040801001204564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
30Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
45Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.4
28.828.4
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
red by 6.0
25.52.8
9.212.0
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
Second
4468
#21
15.10.4
12.412.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
red by 5.9
832
#30
9.22.8
9.212.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End1.5
Third
8577
#32
3.20.7
9.79.0
Auto0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.0
blue by 4.7
6887
#19
8.02.8
3.86.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed6%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed