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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56652040801001207980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+11Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points16
21Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +9
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
56Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
79Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5293
#24
24.81.5
21.623.1
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
blue by 26.0
50.81.3
42.844.2
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
Second
5074
#11
18.42.5
14.917.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
blue by 1.2
19.72.2
14.416.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End4.7
Third
9522
#10
15.21.5
16.818.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.2
red by 7.5
9561
#25
7.71.3
2.74.0
Auto1.0
Teleop4.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned