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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4956204060803493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+31
Endgame+41
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#10
13Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
27Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points18
34Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#20
21.11.6
24.222.6
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
blue by 10.7
31.81.5
23.525.0
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End6.7
Second
8080
#28
15.41.6
16.915.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 0.5
8865
#27
14.91.5
11.312.8
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Third
3091
#18
10.00.9
1.91.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 1.4
8872
#12
11.41.5
11.212.7
Auto1.9
Teleop8.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned