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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456102040801006084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +23
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
28Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points18
60Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.7
32.333.0
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
red by 27.1
4509
#15
24.01.4
27.328.7
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Second
6887
#19
8.00.7
3.13.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 15.9
8736
#23
23.80.8
17.318.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End1.5
Third
9057
#26
7.21.1
8.39.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.1
blue by 7.0
14.20.8
8.79.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed