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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43129010015020030166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+116
Endgame+136
Fouls+136
AutonomousBlue +31
9Leave6
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points37
12Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +85
3Coral scored#19
12Coral points69
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
0Processor points12
0Net points16
0Algae points28
12Total teleop97
Reef
2L4#11
1L3#6
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#5
4Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +136
0Foul points0
30Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#14
20.21.3
24.723.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End1.8
blue by 51.8
72.06.4
44.651.0
Auto22.1
Teleop42.6
End7.3
Second
19.72.0
16.414.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End4.7
blue by 31.2
50.83.8
39.042.8
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
Third
9770
#29
9.81.2
6.75.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End1.6
blue by 21.6
31.43.8
24.928.8
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned