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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509602040608012014016067126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +5
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
15Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +46
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points46
2Processor algae#3
1Net algae#6
12Processor points18
4Net points24
16Algae points42
42Total teleop88
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
6Foul points14
67Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5293
#24
24.80.5
21.121.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
blue by 7.7
1261
#13
32.52.6
37.039.5
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Second
8100
#22
19.40.8
13.614.4
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
blue by 12.4
31.81.5
21.823.3
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End6.7
Third
8865
#27
14.90.5
10.811.3
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 6.2
2415
#20
21.12.6
21.624.2
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned