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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303601020405060362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+53
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +47
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points27
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
0Total teleop47
Reef
0L4#4
1L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
3Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3091
#18
10.01.6
3.61.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 15.5
25.52.0
7.19.1
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
Second
9057
#26
7.22.7
11.08.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.1
blue by 8.0
9522
#10
15.22.0
14.616.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Third
8815
#31
5.02.7
12.810.1
Auto3.1
Teleop0.1
End1.8
blue by 10.1
4468
#21
15.12.0
10.512.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed