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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7639020601001209355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#8
48Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
74Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
93Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
32.52.3
39.541.9
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
red by 11.7
20.80.6
15.315.9
Auto4.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Second
8736
#23
23.81.4
18.219.6
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End1.5
red by 4.4
8100
#22
19.41.0
14.415.4
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
Third
9770
#29
9.81.4
5.56.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End1.6
red by 4.8
8815
#31
5.01.0
10.111.1
Auto3.1
Teleop0.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed