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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67610501001502006864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
Endgame+20
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
6Coral scored#7
21Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
31Total teleop32
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
24Foul points0
68Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.41.1
28.427.3
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
blue by 19.4
50.80.5
44.244.6
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
Second
2415
#20DQ
21.11.8
22.620.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
red by 6.0
4468
#21
15.10.5
12.112.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Third
14.21.1
9.68.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End4.5
red by 4.2
3091
#18
10.00.5
1.01.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned