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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3857020801001204918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+29Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#3
34Coral points9
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
38Total teleop15
Reef
5L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
49Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.7
12.012.7
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
red by 5.2
1414
#14
20.22.1
25.022.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Second
5074
#11
18.41.2
17.518.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
red by 3.0
8080
#28
15.43.5
15.311.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
8577
#32
3.21.2
9.010.2
Auto0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.0
blue by 4.0
9057
#26
7.23.5
9.55.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed