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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874502060801001201401609660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +13
9Coral scored#6
32Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
46Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
40Foul points0
96Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
32.51.9
41.940.0
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
red by 3.9
4189
#16
28.61.0
21.022.0
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End0.6
Second
8100
#22
19.41.9
15.413.5
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
blue by 0.2
19.71.7
16.718.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End4.7
Third
8872
#12
11.41.1
12.711.6
Auto1.9
Teleop8.7
End0.9
Level
11.51.0
4.45.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed