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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43850206010012014061119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+44
Endgame+34
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points22
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +31
9Coral scored#14
32Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
38Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points24
61Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.1
25.026.1
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End6.7
blue by 19.2
51.01.6
33.234.8
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
Second
6910
#34
3.51.9
8.710.6
Auto1.2
Teleop0.6
End1.7
blue by 20.3
8736
#23
23.81.6
19.621.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End1.5
Third
8577
#32
3.21.9
10.212.1
Auto0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.0
blue by 15.2
5074
#11
18.42.6
18.621.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed