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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786640601001207156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+7Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
9Coral scored#7
31Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
41Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
71Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.1
44.644.5
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
red by 19.4
31.40.9
27.326.4
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
Second
9522
#10
15.20.1
18.718.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 5.1
1414
#14
20.20.9
22.922.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Third
8815
#31
5.00.2
9.59.3
Auto3.1
Teleop0.1
End1.8
blue by 4.2
832
#30
9.20.9
13.012.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed