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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1965040801001201405746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#7
30Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
38Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points0
57Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.3
16.317.6
Auto4.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
blue by 4.0
5293
#24
24.81.2
24.123.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
11.51.3
5.46.7
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.5
blue by 8.2
19.71.9
18.416.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End4.7
Third
3091
#18
10.01.3
1.42.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 5.4
8080
#28
15.41.9
11.89.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed