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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1213305010015011727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+92Teleop
+90Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +68
13Coral scored#2
48Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
12Processor points0
20Net points4
32Algae points4
80Total teleop12
Reef
8L4#2
3L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
25Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points0
117Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.02.0
55.957.9
Auto22.1
Teleop42.6
End7.3
red by 48.2
8736
#23
23.80.7
21.220.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End1.5
Second
4189
#16
28.61.2
22.023.2
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End0.6
red by 20.7
6887
#19
8.00.7
5.54.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Third
2415
#20
21.12.0
20.822.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
red by 17.6
6910
#34
3.51.1
10.69.4
Auto1.2
Teleop0.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed