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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53680204060801001201405958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
7Coral scored#6
24Coral points22
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
46Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
59Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.7
26.126.9
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End6.7
blue by 0.7
1261
#13
32.50.1
40.039.9
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Second
8100
#22
19.41.2
13.514.7
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
blue by 6.0
25.50.0
12.712.7
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
Third
14.20.7
8.59.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End4.5
red by 7.0
9057
#26
7.20.1
5.95.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed